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What this means is that there were roughly 30,000 more native-born (and 30,000 more foreign born) 25 year-olds in New York City in 2010 than there were 15 year-olds in 2000.That means that somewhere in those ten years, that many people migrated in.

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The picture we get from the chart above is of a city that attracts young people in their 20’s, then loses them (and their newborn children) as parents get older.Others move to different metro areas where the same benefits are more accessible.Thus this effect exists for Manhattan in relation to its suburbs, but also for the New York metro as a whole in relation to other metro areas.Deaths account for a certain percentage of the losses in each group, but they don’t become significant enough to overshadow migration until you get into the age groups over 60.The Circle of Life While many people do live and die in the same place they were born, many do not.Natural increase in New York and other cities is due to the age structure of those cities: New York is a young city compared to the nation as a whole.

Like most cities, it has a disproportionate share of young adults in their 20’s and early 30’s.

International immigrants are no different: they tend to be young adults following economic opportunity and, while immigrant families with children are more tolerant of dense urban areas than native born families, they still follow roughly the same migration cycle.

This chart shows the change in population for each age cohort in NYC from 2000 to 2010, broken down by age group.

They’re joined on that list by Cook County, IL (Chicago), Los Angeles County, CA, Miami-Dade County, FL (Miami), and Fairfax County, VA (urban county outside DC with the second highest median income in the country).

The conclusion suggested by domestic migration numbers is that New York is dying as its residents abandon ship, dragging down statewide migration numbers with it.

Here is where it becomes important to understand how migration and natural increase are related.

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